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ResearchOfficialPreprintarXiv AI/ML

Analytic Abduction: Causal Decomposition and Governed Commitment for Human–AI Coordination

Jul 17, 2026

A new formal framework for analytic abduction is proposed, enabling AI systems to identify and manage latent causal factors under risk-sensitive commitment thresholds. The κ-τ apparatus models epistemic interactions and calibrates commitment based on decision stakes, producing causal clusters that help prevent premature convergence on explanations. Demonstrations in epidemiology and cybersecurity show the approach yields legible, decomposable explanations to support human-AI coordination.

Why it matters: This framework enables AI to present multiple plausible explanatory scenarios to humans, supporting informed decision-making even under uncertainty.

Full story at: arXiv AI/ML